Why Tark’s Last Three Picks Were Right on the Money
Wednesday, April 8th, 2009When it’s comes down to filling out brackets, it’s been said that it doesn’t matter whom you ask - winning the office pool is basically a matter of luck anyway. There’s much to be said for that kind of logic - to a point. And that point is, the farther the tournament moves along, the more experience and knowledge of the college game become a factor.
When 32 pairs of games are in the original mix, especially when every year, at least one #12 seed beats a #5, as well as all the other “upsets from out of nowhere” happen, flipping a coin is probably as good - in the first round. As the tournament progresses, I can see someone with knowledge of only mascots or team colors, who had picked Siena, a #9, over Ohio State a #8, using the same logic, but really fighting the odds, by picking Siena over #1 Louisville. They might look like a genius in the first round and a fool in the second. Same with #11 Dayton over #6 West Virginia (a team that, pardon the “impossible” term, overachieved all season, under the guidance of unrelenting taskmaster, but fabulous coach, Bob Huggins) - looking like a wizard, as opposed to picking the Flyers in the next round vs. #3 Kansas, a team with another great coach, Bill Self, but a team with better players.
When this year’s tournament got to the Sweet Sixteen, the “chalk” was on the money in 14 out of the 16 games. Those people who had picked #3 Syracuse over #2 Oklahoma and/or #12 Arizona over #1 Louisville probably got burned by other upsets they predicted (a strategy that might have worked in tournaments past, but not this year).Â
You get the idea. So, … when it gets down to UConn (Tark had Memphis in the bracket he filled out prior to the tourney) vs. Michigan State (a team he did have) and Villanova (he picked either Duke or Pitt, I can’t recall) vs. North Carolina (a team he, as pretty much everyone else also had), it was time to put him on the spot (during his radio show) and ask him which way he was going - and why.
His pick in the first game was Michigan State, and not because of the site (Detroit - although he didn’t discount that, by any means), but because he felt that when the Spartans had the ball, Tom Izzo liked to run a play every time down the floor (unless they were breaking). Even though this brand of coaching flew in the face of the Tarkanian style, Jerry said he felt MSU executed (how many coaches use that word?) their man-to-man offense better than anyone in the country and he thought, although UConn played solid, half court man-to-man defense, that Michigan State ran their offense better than UConn defended. Naturally, being so close to Detroit would energize Izzo’s guys, especially at the defensive end.Â
Tark is also a great admirer of Hasheem Thabeet, but felt whether UConn played man or zone, that Goran Suton could face up from 15′ and beyond and cause Jim Calhoun’s guys problems. This is what I’m referring to when I talk about hoops savvy. Guys who’ve coached, especially those who’ve been there, i.e. the Final Four, have experienced something the rest of us haven’t. And when you take into account the guys who have been there multiple times, e.g. not only Tark, but Bob Knight, you can’t tell me that the familiarity doesn’t give them an advantage in understanding the feelings players and coaches have.  Doesn’t common sense tell us that the next time Jay Wright leads a team to the Final Four (and, rest assured, that will happen), he will have a whole different perspective on how to prepare and what it’s generally all about?
Tark was one of those who annointed UNC as number one right from the start of the season and, if not the first, was among the first to claim they’d go undefeated. He’d say, over and over, “How can a team that won 36 games last year and got to the Final Four, have everybody back, and have the number one recruiting class in the nation, not be picked to win it all? Plus Roy Williams is a great, great coach. They shouldn’t lose!” Â
I’d keep reminding him how difficult it was to go undefeated. His 1991 team was coming off the National Championship and went undefeated, reaching the Final Four, only to be beaten by Duke (79-77), a team they had destroyed by thirty in the Championship Game the year before. He said he understood, but just had never seen a team with such a collection of talent, coached by a Hall-of-Famer, play as well as they had played (into December).
When I asked him to pick a winner between Michigan State and Carolina, he thought for a while, but said he couldn’t see how the Spartans could overcome that much talent. He really wanted to go with his heart (he’s very close to both coaches - in fact, we had all of the Final Four coaches on the show this past year, and MSU winning it would have been such a great story), but in the end, he picked the Heels. Why? It really didn’t matter, there was nothing riding on his pick, the show was on a radio station in Fresno - it wasn’t like a national audience was going to think Tark missed it. It’s just that, coaches are so competitive, they want to win - even if it means nothing.
For the record (and mainly because I thought UConn might win), I asked him, “What if UConn beats Michigan State, who wins it all then?” His answer was, “North Carolina.” I didn’t think there needed to be much discussion about that selection, but then I asked, just to cover all bases, what if Villanova upsets UNC, who wins ‘Nova or UConn - and I think he said Villanova. The reason my recollection is hazy is because he stunned me on the next, and last, combination.
How about a Michigan State-Villanova final? Who do you have? He closed his eyes tightly and shook his head. I could almost see him thinking of his four trips to the Final Four and how he could feel his stomach churning and the gears grinding, before he looked up and said, “Villanova.”Â
Never did I expect that answer! As much as he had hoped for a storybook ending, he gave what his experiences had told him. Call me a sap (I’ve been called much worse), but I really believe that had any of those combinations happened, Tark would have nailed each of them.
Why do I believe this? My late friend and mentor, John Savage, used to say that some people were a mile wide and an inch deep and that others were an inch wide and a mile deep - and he had never met Jerry Tarkanian - the poster boy for the “inch wide, mile deep” club. He knows basketball - everything about it, and not too much about anything else. Nor does he want to. But there’s an old Yiddish saying that also describes people - and in this case, it’s the reason I think so much of Jerry’s insight into basketball:
“All of us are crazy good in one way or another.”Â
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