The term “armchair quarterback” has been replaced by what it always was: armchair coach. Come on, did you really think that a guy sitting at home (especially one with a small - or not so small - wager on the game) would be content with just calling the shots on one side of the ball? Plus, the new designation allows for the same couch (or chair) potato to become the “coach” for all the other sports he watches and makes brilliant comments about (usually after a play is over). The word “he” is used because generally, someone whose actual knowledge of the game is in inverse proportion to how much he thinks he knows about it, tends to be a male. See, guys, the ladies haven’t caught us in every area yet.
In the sport of basketball, there are so many instances where such a “professional” can put his theories to work, it’s one of the favorite times of the year for these masters of the (p)leather.  Following the NBA Playoffs alone, many an armchair must be re-upholstered, there are so many cases that have been bantered about.
One such area that lends to debate is what’s referred to by coaches (the real ones) as late game situations. In general, these are two-three minutes or less to go in the game and what to do when certain situations arise. Let’s discuss one particular late game situation that occurred in the recently concluded NBA Finals, possibly the turning point in the series.
With 11 seconds to go and the Magic holding a three point lead over the Lakers, Dwight Howard is at the free throw line, shooting two. Obviously, if he makes one, the game becomes a two-possession game and, with only 11 seconds, can be chalked up as a win for DisneyWorld over DisneyLand, tying the series at two games a piece. But, maybe to make it interesting, maybe because he’s not a good enough free throw shooter yet (probably the latter), Howard misses both and the Lakers call time out.
OK, armchair guys, compare your thinking to the coaching staff of the Magic - who, following the game, each of you blasted- according to comments left on websites, water cooler talk and quotes in the papers (media members, especially columnists, aren’t excluded from the “armchair coach club,” they just happen to get paid for voicing - in print or through the airwaves - their version of what should have been).
First question to be discussed during the time out is: where are the Lakers choosing to put the ball into play - on the baseline (94′ from their goal) or at midcourt? Then, and this is one item I didn’t see or hear discussed, do we have a foul to give? Admittedly, I didn’t search the internet or jump from channel to channel to hear as many views as I could have following the game, although it was the first thing I inquired when talking to my friends, mostly current or former coaches (the real kind).
If you have a foul to give (and the Lakers are taking the ball out at the end line, which is what they chose to do), when do you want to give it? Right away, under, say, six seconds? It is my understanding now, that, in fact, the Magic did have a foul to give. As everyone who has more than just a casual interest in the game seems to know, the players have to be careful not to take a foul on a player who is in the act of shooting, thus giving him three FT’s and defeating the purpose of giving that last foul (whehter the opponent is in the bonus or not).  Most dangerous, because of how good he is at anticipating a foul and because of his reputation, is Kobe, so the strategy is probably: do not to let Kobe touch the ball. If he does, double him immediately and get it out of his hands. Imagine letting Kobe Bryant shoot a three with the game on the line and eventually losing? You’d be fired before the series got to Game 5.
An aside: since, following the game’s conclusion, no one asked Stan Van Gundy if he or his staff knew they had a foul to give (at least no one I heard, which was limited to what ESPN-TV broadcast of the post game press conference), I don’t know if that factored into what their strategy was. With the sheer number of coaches and all the coaching experience (Brendan Malone, himself, is a 40-year coaching veteran), I’d be totally shocked if someone didn’t mention it - although, how the Magic played following the Lakers’ timeout did nothing to make me think they did know.
Even assuming they did not have a foul to give, the argument of “do you or don’t you foul with a three-point lead and seconds to go?” comes into consideration. This has been a hot topic ever since the first coach decided not to foul and the opponent hit a three-pointer to send the game into OT. With my background in math (and math being based on logic), I think fouling is playing the odds and the right move.Â
This strategy was asked of SVG and he logically answered the question. His comment was, because there were 11 seconds - and because they had shot free throws so poorly(10-17 in the fourth quarter), he simply didn’t think it would be to his club’s advantage to foul, stop the clock and, in all likelihood, give them two points, then have them foul his guys (Howard had just missed two and the normally reliable Hedo Turkoglu had missed five!)
OK, back to what to do when they take the ball out and have to go the length of the floor. We know what they chose and what happened - and, naturally, the armchairs say, “How can you double Kobe, knowing he’s going to pass it up the floor and Orlando will be outnumbered?” Wait a minute now. Let’s break that statement down. “…knowing he’s going to pass it up the floor…” What, in Kobe’s history, would lead someone to the conclusion that, at the end of a game, with a W or L on the line, he’s going to pass the ball? Because he’s double-teamed? Have you ever taken a glimpse of some of the shots he takes when he’s doubled? Exhibit A: take a gander at the picture of the shot he’s hoisting on page 35 of the June 15 issue of Sports Illustrated - and he’s only being “one-and-a-half teamed.” Hey, I’m no Kobe-hater. I think he’s the best player in the game today, followed closely by LeBron, but to say, don’t double because you know he’s going to pass, I’m going to have to accuse you of not only second-guessing, but doing so after knowing the outcome. There is room for an argument on whether or not to double him, but there is NO basis for that argument.
Next criticism of Stan VG (having been a 30-year assistant, I feel the entire staff shares the blame, as they ought to the credit when decisions work): “Why was Jameer Nelson in the game at that point?”  Regarding this, I don’t believe there’s any reason anyone can give that would justify Nelson being in the game. Although I was on the staff at Fresno State when Rafer Alston played there, and he and I got to be pretty close because we were both Easterners (me from New Jersey and Rafer from that suburb of New Jersey, NYC), my belief on this has absolutely no bearing the relationship between Rae and me. The reason I say that is because I don’t think Rafer should have been in the game at that point. Up three, with seconds to play, size is what’s needed to guard, not experience or quickness. Who cares if one of the Lakers beats his defender off the dribble? They need a three to hurt you!  Even Stan said in the press conference that he was astounded at how much room Nelson gave Fisher, gesturing with arms spread as he spoke. “It’s like we were guarding against the layup,” Coach VG said, kindly using the word “we” instead of the defender’s (Nelson) name. Â
If you think Van Gundy felt, “Even if they hit a three, we go into overtime,” you’re not the armchair whiz you make yourself out to be, because if the game goes into OT, no matter what he says to his guys, they know they gave it away, and the momentum the Lakers would riding into OT (coupled with the fact, lest we forget, that their personnel is better - and you can never let the favorite up for another breath if you have the chance to put them away). Human nature takes over, along with self-doubt on one side (Orlando) and (for the Lakers) a sense of relief and renewed commitment not to let this golden opportunity slip away - again!
Unfortunately, although all of this must be taken into consideration, if a coach took this long to make a decision, the game would be lost due to forfeit. This was just a (futile, no doubt) attempt to show armchair coaches that a little more thought and planning goes into a late game decision than, “How the hell could the Magic have not fouled?”
As I used to say when I spoke at coaching clinics or to callers on post game radio shows:
“A good coaching move is one that works.”